Tuesday, March 08, 2005

Scoring efficiency

One thing that really bothers me is inefficient offensive players getting more shots than they should. Using the modified points-per-possession formula discussed in prior blog entries, here is how the Mavs stack up, top to bottom, in terms of scoring efficiency vs. shot attempts:

Terry 1.33 PPP, 8.8 FGA/game
Nowitzki 1.26 PPP, 19.5 FGA/game
Finley 1.21 PPP, 15.6 FGA/game
Van Horn 1.15 PPP, 9.8 FGA/game
Howard 1.14 PPP, 10.6 FGA/game
Dampier 1.13 PPP, 6.5 FGA/game
Stackhouse 1.13 PPP, 12.5 FGA/game
Harris 1.13 PPP, 5.0 FGA/game
Henderson 1.10 PPP, 2.9 FGA/game
Daniels 1.06 PPP, 9.8 FGA/game
Bradley 1.04 PPP, 2.0 FGA/game
Armstrong 1.00 PPP, 2.9 FGA/game
Ilunga-Mbenga 0.89 PPP, 0.9 FGA/game

What do those numbers tell us? Well, Terry's not shooting nearly enough, Stackhouse and Daniels are shooting too much, and Finley might need to trim his shot attempts back as well. What is clear is that Terry, Nowitzki, and Finley are clearly the three most efficient offensive options, and they should be taking the majority of the shots. One other thing that's clear: Marquis Daniels is by FAR the least efficient scorer among the regular rotation guys. Regardless of where he takes his shots.

I'd settle for Terry being No. 3 on the team in shot attempts, because he also has to try and set up his teammates. As it stands, he is No. 7 in FGA/game. That should not continue to be the case, if the Mavs want to be successful in the playoffs.

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